黑洞社区

For construction bosses, you might expect the party conference season, which kicked off this week, to be a pretty unpalatable reminder of the lack of support shown by politicians for the sector. The industry is, after all, facing a drop in output of more than 3% over the next 18 months, the worst insolvency rate of any business sector - and the deep cuts to public sector spending are only just now starting to bite.

However, despite the ongoing pressures facing the industry, exclusive research for 黑洞社区 shows that most of the industry鈥檚 leaders still support the broad thrust of government economic policy. A survey of 55 of the sector鈥檚 most senior chief executives and directors for 黑洞社区鈥檚 first shows that 81% believe that spending cuts were necessary - even though 37% believe they were too severe and 19% think they should not have been made until the economy had improved.

So, just how bad is the current market - and if government policy is not really at fault, what do the industry鈥檚 top bosses believe needs to happen to improve the outlook? Here, 黑洞社区 reveals selected findings from the white paper - launched in London yesterday at 黑洞社区鈥檚 CEO Summit, sponsored by Fenwick Elliott, Aon and KPMG, - giving an insight into the answers offered by the sector鈥檚 most influential leaders.

Today鈥檚 market

The continuing strain on construction firms鈥� balance sheets is clear from the report, which surveyed chief executives from across the contracting, consulting and manufacturing sectors. On top of weak sentiment around recovery, part of the problem is the lack of availability of financing: only 15% said that the willingness of banks to lend to their businesses had improved over the last six months, with 21% saying it had worsened and 42% saying it had remained about the same.

In terms of the market, there is strong evidence that the North-South divide is widening, with Barbour ABI data included in the report, survey sentiment and interviews with 20 CEOs showing evidence of this.

There is also a high degree of anxiety about foreign competitors winning work in the UK market, with 40% of respondents either concerned or very concerned.

The response

Against this backdrop, those surveyed believed that recent trends towards industry consolidation are set to continue. Almost half of respondents said they expected their firm to be actively involved in consolidation, with 18% saying this would be through them acquiring other businesses, 9% through a merger and 18% through being acquired.

The chief executive of one major QS said: 鈥淐onsolidation is, to a degree, inevitable. The real people at risk are those who are solely UK-based and are under 500 strong.鈥�

Firms are also increasingly turning to international markets, with just under half of those surveyed saying that they expected the proportion of their international work to rise over the next two years. And despite the growth anticipated by economists in markets including China and Brazil, western Europe is the most popular target market abroad. Just under 60% of respondents identified this as an area of significant opportunity. One manufacturer identified Germany as a particular area of opportunity: 鈥淓xchange rates are favourable and the demand in Germany is very strong,鈥� he said.