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Market forecast

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Market forecast: Why viability is tight for construction projects in the UK

2025-04-09T06:00:00+01:00By Pablo Cristi Worm

Global uncertainty, combined with domestic regulatory change, a fragile demand outlook and expectations around inflation are combining to create tricky conditions.  It’s a finely balanced equation with many moving parts. Pablo Cristi Worm of Aecom reports

shutterstock_1634488990 (1)

Market forecast: Prospects for growth in 2025 remain subdued

2025-01-13T07:00:00+00:00By Brian Smith

With capacity depleted, cost pressures have resurfaced as demand has strengthened – but with interest rates set to stay high, slowing demand growth may help smooth the transition

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Market forecast: Demand is set to rise as the economy stabilises

2024-10-07T06:00:00+01:00By Brian Smith

Demand is set to strengthen as economic stability stimulates a recovery in private sector investment, but contractor capacity is depleted and risk aversion elevated

shutterstock_464158019

Market forecast: Materials prices and margins are both set to come under pressure

2024-07-11T07:00:00+01:00By Brian Smith

Rising materials prices could cause capacity pinch-points. And where spare capacity exists, intense competition could put margins under greater pressure. Brian Smith of Aecom reports

shutterstock_1634488990

Market forecast: Why prices for goods and services are still set for further increases

2024-04-11T06:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Construction output is falling steadily as high interest rates sap demand, though repair and maintenance is propping up the sector. Despite materials costs rising less rapidly, tender prices are still on the up

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Market forecast: Why firms will feel the pressure in 2024

2024-01-11T06:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

As we head into the new year, input costs are levelling off – in terms of materials at least – but as new orders become patchier, market competition is rising

Monthly new work output

Market forecast: Why margin compression remains a concern

2023-10-05T06:01:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Against a poor economic backdrop, construction output is holding up in every sub-sector except housing. However there are still reasons to be worried.

bank

Market forecast: Why tender prices are likely to continue rising despite cost inflation easing

2023-07-05T06:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

The ongoing economic backdrop of elevated interest rates is increasingly impacting construction

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Market forecast: Heading for a fall?

2023-04-19T06:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Construction output has been on the up, but can this continue in the face of economic uncertainty? Housebuilding in particular looks set for a fall

storm

Market forecast: Weathering the storm

2023-01-10T07:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

The UK is now clearly heading into recession but strong momentum in construction output should help to insulate our sector, despite only slightly slowing cost pressures

New work

Market forecast: Upward but uneven

2022-11-11T07:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

As building costs soar, yearly tender price increases are close to double figures – but that should slow next year. And while construction output is still rising overall, there is greater fragmentation

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Market forecast: Into the headwinds

2022-08-03T05:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Output has recovered almost to pre-pandemic levels, but optimism is falling in the face of inflation, recruitment challenges and red tape

Monthly new work output

Market forecast: The costs of uncertainty

2022-05-09T06:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Output is levelling off as the Ukraine war and Chinese covid lockdowns hit confidence. Meanwhile, the same factors are adding inflationary pressures

cranes

Market forecast: Inflation bites

2022-02-10T07:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

As output rebounds, building costs are soaring at double-digit rates thanks to a variety of inflationary pressures, sending tender prices upwards

cranes

Market forecast: On the up and up

2021-11-10T05:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

Acute inflation in the sector is pushing up tender prices, and with no end in sight to the pressures, this could continue well beyond 2022

Monthly new work output

Market forecast: Bouncing back

2021-08-09T05:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Rising demand and tightening supply are driving up both costs and tender prices. How much of this is just a spike rather than an underlying upward economic trend?

Monthly new work output

Market forecast: High hopes

2021-05-10T05:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

While sentiment is high for a recovery, new orders are not fully mirroring this optimism, and a supply crunch is hitting the materials chain hard

Optimism

Market forecast: Uncertainty looms

2021-02-12T05:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

There are signs of an increase in output, but ongoing uncertainty around covid lockdowns and Brexit red tape make the future harder to predict

Screenshot 2020-11-20 at 09.28.22

Market forecast: A slow recovery

2020-11-23T05:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

Construction output and sentiment have regained much ground after their collapse amid the initial lockdown, but ongoing uncertainty means recovery is wobbly

Business sentiment 2

Market forecast: Rising, but for how long?

2020-08-13T05:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

While the initial bounce-back looks to be V-shaped, there are strong reasons to believe that could change in the medium term as downside risks materialise

All Market forecast

 

 

 

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