Market forecast: Why viability is tight for construction projects in the UK

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Global uncertainty, combined with domestic regulatory change, a fragile demand outlook and expectations around inflation are combining to create tricky conditions.  It’s a finely balanced equation with many moving parts. Pablo Cristi Worm of Aecom reports

01 / Summary

Tender price index â–²

Tender price inflation accelerated to 3.2% on the year in Q1 2025, up from 2.5% in Q4 2024 in anticipation of higher direct labour cost from April.

ºÚ¶´ÉçÇø cost index â–²

Aecom’s building cost index increased to 3.3% on the year in Q1 2025, an uplift compared with the 1.8% quarter-on-year change recorded in Q1 2024, due to stronger industry wage growth.

Consumer prices index â–²

Headline consumer price inflation accelerated to 3.0% in January, up from an annual rate of 2.5% in December 2024. Services inflation increased from 4.4% annually in December to 5.0% in January.

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