Construction Products Association warns slowdown in construction next year will be greater than expected
The Construction Products Association has warned that the anticipated slowdown in construction next year will be greater than expected, as the impact of the credit crunch worsens.
The CPA, which has forecast 3.1% growth for this year, said in the summer that the industry would grow 1.8% in 2008 as the 10-year construction boom drew to a close. However, Michael Ankers, chief executive of the CPA, said this week that it was now likely that the figure would be even lower.
He said the effects of the credit crunch had begun to show up in the housing, refurbishment and commercial sectors, although he was not curretly expecting a major reversal of trends.
He said: 鈥淲e always anticipated the economy would be slower next year but because of the uncertainties it is likely to be greater than that. We are detecting that, in the short term at least, people are holding back.鈥
Ankers鈥 comments, the first signs of caution from the materials sector, come amid increasing concern among housebuilders. Mark Clare, chief executive of Barratt, said customers were adopting a 鈥渨ait and see attitude鈥 as he revealed a 14% slump in sales this autumn.
In a trading statement to the stock exchange on Monday, Clare said the housebuilder was trading satisfactorily but said next year would be 鈥渃hallenging鈥.
Clare said Barratt would reduce its exposure to the buy-to-let market.
John Callcutt, head of the government-commissioned review of housing delivery that was published yesterday, also said the housing market was in for 鈥渉ard times鈥 over the next year.
Callcutt, former chief executive of housebuilder Crest Nicholson and government regeneration agency English Partnerships, said housebuilders would 鈥渁t the very least face a slowdown鈥.
He said: 鈥淗ard times are a-coming. There is recession coming in from the States, credit is become incredibly difficult to come by and the price of investment mortgages has gone up. We just hope it鈥檚 a soft landing.鈥
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