黑洞社区

Let鈥檚 not get ahead of ourselves. A Labour victory is not yet certain. But, given the current state of the polls and the day-to-day trajectory of the Conservative party鈥檚 re-election campaign, many figures across industry are turning a keen eye towards Labour鈥檚 frontbench for a look at who they might be dealing with in Westminster come 5 July 鈥� and construction is no exception. 

Early indications are of a fairly centrally coordinated approach to delivering on the party鈥檚 five missions, with a 鈥渜uad鈥� of senior figures taking the key strategic decisions. Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves and Angela Rayner are now well-known quantities for anyone who has not been under a rock for the past half-decade, but the fourth member of this team, Pat McFadden, could also be a major influence on government policy.

A former MP and minister for business, innovation and skills, McFadden is currently Labour鈥檚 national campaign coordinator. Starmer is reportedly lining up crossbench peer Baroness Louise Casey for a senior role to work with McFadden on coordinating government delivery of the missions. 

Other influential figures around the central team include Morgan McSweeney, the election campaign manager who was reportedly pivotal in the party rowing back on its 拢28bn green pledge, and former civil servant Sue Gray, who is leading preparations for government. 

Gray is reportedly looking to introduce cross-departmental mission boards to drive progress on the government鈥檚 goals, and people involved in public affairs in the built environment say they can already see elements of this un-siloed approach. 

One of the party鈥檚 five pledges is to make Britain a 鈥渃lean energy superpower鈥� with zero carbon electricity by 2030. According to Patrick Traynor, associate director at Copper Consultancy, a specialist communications consultancy in the infrastructure sector, this ambition could be among the most consequential for the built environment more broadly. 

鈥淸Planning reform] is crucial to what Labour are trying to achieve, especially their 2030 clean power targets,鈥� he says. 鈥淭o achieve that reform of the planning system is absolutely critical.鈥�

Traynor says he is anticipating that an energy independence bill would be among the first pieces of legislation the party brings forward after an election win which would include some of its most significant changes to planning policy. 鈥淚t鈥檚 hard to say because they could tweak existing pieces of legislation or use secondary legislation,鈥� he says. 鈥淏ut I think that the energy independence act will contain a lot of interesting things from a planning point of view.鈥� 

He says that while planning is theoretically the domain of Matthew Pennycook,  the shadow minister for housing, Ed Miliband鈥檚 team in the shadow department for energy security and net zero (DESNEZ) 鈥渃annot really achieve what they want to without reform鈥�, adding that the shadow Treasury is also heavily involved in this workstream. 

I think they really do need to beef up the level of expertise and experience that they have got in that [DESNEZ] team

Louise Hutchins, head of public affairs, UK Green 黑洞社区 Council

Darren Jones, shadow chief secretary to the Treasury, is 鈥渒ind of the link between Treasury and the planning team,鈥� according to Traynor. Jones is not yet a household name, but as an increasingly frequent media performer for the party, he soon will be.

He has also won admirers in the built environment through his involvement in the shadow Treasury team鈥檚 direct engagement with the industry, with a senior figure at one major contractor singling him out as an impressive figure.

Robert Lee, senior external affairs manager at the Construction Products Association, also identified him for praise. 鈥淒arren is talent, frankly, and I think that is why he does the morning media round so often,鈥� he says. 鈥淗e knows his brief and he is on top of the detail.

鈥淲hen I talk to professionals in other spheres, they all identify Darren [鈥�] as someone to look out for. It will be interesting to see what happens after the election and how long he will stay in his brief before he gets promoted.鈥�

Charlotte Wills, a director at Portland Communications specialising in the built environment, describes Jones as 鈥渆ssentially Rachel Reeves鈥� No 2鈥� and says he has been relied upon to make key decisions. He was a key player in the costing of Labour鈥檚 manifesto. 鈥淗e鈥檚 passionate about the future of infrastructure and what it looks like 鈥� both housing and digital,鈥� she says. 

Jones had been scheduled to deliver a keynote speech on the final day of this year鈥檚 UKREIIF conference in Leeds, but his appearance was cancelled after the election was called. Had he given it, the speech would have set out the results of Labour鈥檚 review into infrastructure delivery, overseen by Jones, which recommended combining the National Infrastructure Commission and Infrastructure and Projects Authority to create a National Infrastructure and Service Transformation Authority with new powers and an updated mandate. 

According to Traynor, those on the energy side of infrastructure have a good relationship with Ed Miliband, who is well known in the sector and has a 鈥渞eally good understanding of his brief鈥�. Over the past few years, the Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities (DLUHC) has been perhaps the most influential part of government as far as the built environment has been concerned, and while its significance would no doubt continue under Labour, the party鈥檚 focus on retrofit and green energy means increasing attention will likely turn to DESNEZ. 

There is a question around who the energy minister will be, with the current shadow minister, Alan Whitehead, standing down at the election. Whithead 鈥渉as been their policy guru forever鈥�, according to Louise Hutchins, head of public affairs at the UK Green 黑洞社区 Council, and Traynor notes that the outgoing MP for the Southampton Test constituency (which will cease to exist following the boundary changes) has been 鈥渞eally good in the role鈥�.

Hutchins says her team at UKGBC are 鈥漺orried about that role being just distributed across that team and there not being a proper focus and somebody taking a lead on the built environment鈥�, but adds that she 鈥渨ouldn鈥檛 be surprised if we fairly quickly saw a Lord Whitehead鈥� brought in as an adviser. 

More generally, Hutchins says, the shadow DESNEZ team 鈥渞eally do need to beef up the level of expertise and experience they have got鈥�, and, perhaps paradoxically, suggests the new intake of MPs could be a good source to draw on. She highlights three prospective parliamentary candidates 鈥� Miatta Fanhbulleh, Polly Billington and Ryan Jude  鈥� who could make useful junior ministers. 

Fanhbulleh is the former chief executive of the New Economics Foundation and Hutchins notes that she is understood to have been advising Ed Miliband. 鈥滻 wouldn鈥檛 be surprised if they found a role for her,鈥� she adds.

Billington, former chief of UK100, a network of local government leaders working on climate issues, and Jude, Westminster council鈥檚 environment lead and a programme director at the Green Finance Insititute, both have experience relevant to the decarbonisation challenge. 

Within the existing team, Sarah Jones, who is shadow minister for industry and decarbonisation, could be a major influence on the retrofit agenda. Her role has her working across DESNEZ and the shadow team for the Department for Business and Trade, with Hutchins suggesting that her job might be focused on the industrial strategy elements of the retrofit challenge. According to Wills she is 鈥渨ell respected and known for being effective鈥�. 

Despite the focus on energy, DLUHC would still play a prominent role for the built environment under a Labour government. If the party gets a majority, Angela Rayner would also be deputy prime minister as well as secretary of state and a member of the aforementioned 鈥渜uad鈥�, which could mean more junior ministers playing more prominent roles than under the Tories. 

Mike [Amesbury] is known as something of an independent thinker, but someone that they can rely upon and he has done quite a lot of work around the building safety sphere

Robert Lee, senior external affairs manager, Construction Products Association

David Parry, senior parliamentary and public affairs officer at the CIOB, drew attention to Mike Amesbury, the building safety minister, as a potentially significant player, particularly with the Grenfell report expected to be published in the government鈥檚 first months. 鈥淗e was part of the building safety bill committee as it passed through parliament to become legislation,鈥� he says.

鈥淕iven the fact that we are going to have the Grenfell report under the next government [鈥�] I think he would be a very important person within the industry. He has got good experience and background knowledge in the area and I know he has also participated in a number of conversations and round-tables on the quality of housing as a whole.鈥� 

The CPA鈥檚 Robert Lee agrees that the Grenfell report will bolster Amesbury鈥檚 profile within government. 鈥淚n politics there are pipeline problems and that is one of them,鈥� he says. 

鈥淭hey鈥檝e obviously identified that as a problem and want to try and get ahead of it. Mike is known as something of an independent thinker, but someone that they can rely upon and he has done quite a lot of work around the building safety sphere.鈥�

Matthew Pennycook, the shadow minister for housing, has been a regular presence on conference panels over the past two years and has won many admirers in the sector, although Hutchins says he has 鈥渂een quite arm鈥檚 length with parts of the industry and much closer to others鈥�. Portland鈥檚 Wills describes him as a 鈥渟trong force鈥� in the shadow DLUHC team and says that, while Rayner will 鈥渃ontinue to set the direction for the department鈥�, Pennycook is more 鈥渁cross the detail, particularly on planning鈥� and has a strong grip of his brief.

鈥淗e will probably stay in his role as shadow housing and planning minister given the positive impact he is having on the brief unless he鈥檚 promoted,鈥� she says.

鈥淸He] is actually quite well respected across all the professional bodies,鈥� says Eddie Tuttle, policy and external affairs director at the CIOB. 鈥淗e is somebody that works well with all of my contacts and myself and my team in terms of housing policy, but also on that wider skills gap issue鈥�. 

Another key figure on that front could be Seema Malhotra, the shadow minister for skills in the education team, who has been in post since last year. 鈥淕iven the breadth of the skills gap in construction and the built environment, there is a lot of work that is going to need to be done to ensure they are aware of the exact nature of the individuals that are needed and the exact methods that are needed to potentially train a British workforce,鈥� says Parry. 

He adds that, while the party has been 鈥渞elatively quiet in terms of big broadsheet announcements鈥�, there has been 鈥渁 lot of work that has been going on behind the scenes鈥�, pointing to the review of the apprenticeship system commissioned by the party and compiled by grandee David Blunkett last year.

鈥淚 would anticipate [the Blunkett report] forms a crucial part of their future skills policies, specifically in relationship to apprenticeships,鈥� says Parry. 

 

According to Lee, shadow immigration minister Stephen Kinnock could play a major role in shaping skills policy, with recent announcements suggesting Labour are looking to link migration policy with progress on upskilling British workers. 鈥淭here is talk that he might be moved after the election and his brief is now starting to stretch more into skills and that sort of thing, and he is talking quite a lot about that,鈥� says Lee.

Officially, construction鈥檚 representative in government sits within the Department for Business and Trade. Alan Mak, parliamentary under-secretary for industry and economic security, currently sits as co-chair of the Construction Leadership Council, but construction is just one of a long list of sectors he is responsible for. It is, perhaps, telling that the Department for Business and Trade was not mentioned much by those to whom 黑洞社区 spoke. 

Jonathan Reynolds has given the sector a mixed impression. One senior figure at a major contractor was relatively unimpressed with the shadow business secretary after engagements with Labour鈥檚 frontbench, but the CPA鈥檚 Robert Lee says he is 鈥渙ne of the more organised shadow ministers鈥� and expects him to be 鈥渜uick off the mark鈥� if Labour enter government.

鈥�Jonathan Reynolds is an individual that鈥檚 going to be very important, going forward, and I think we鈥檙e going to see a lot of him,鈥� he says. 鈥淚 suspect, if they鈥檙e very smart about it, that it is going to be this trio of himself, Angela Rayner and the chancellor Rachel Reeves, where they will be able to complement each other鈥檚 work.鈥� 

There is uncertainty about who would be given the construction brief if Labour are elected. The CIOB鈥檚 David Parry, says: 鈥淭here isn鈥檛 as an overt a position as we have currently within the current government for construction, but I would imagine it would fall under the remit of someone like Justin Madders, shadow minister for business and employment rights, or Rushanara Ali, shadow minister for investment and small businesses鈥�. 

There is, of course, always the possibility that Labour鈥檚 top team in government looks a little different to its team in opposition. But Wills notes that Starmer has 鈥渟ought to bring in a strong frontbench as part of his campaign鈥� and predicts that there will not be a cabinet reshuffle until Christmas at the earliest, though junior ministers may move around.

鈥淢any factors will contribute to timings, but there will be a sense of giving new ministers time to make progress on the manifesto pledges they helped develop,鈥� she says.

Jeff May, deputy chief executive of the CPA, who has responsibility for government relations, was also expecting relative calm. 鈥淲e鈥檝e heard through the grapevine that the team that the government is bringing in through the election period is the team it is largely comfortable with for the foreseeable future,鈥� he says.

His colleague Lee says the real question will be what gets prioritised if Starmer does get the keys to Number 10. 鈥淭here鈥檚 going to be a problem, and this always happens when a government changes, which is, all of a sudden they鈥檙e fighting for space on the Number 10 grid,鈥� he explains. However, he seems reassured that the 鈥渕ood music鈥� coming from Labour is all about growth, and particularly about housebuilding.

鈥淚t looks like that is going to be front and centre,鈥� he adds. 鈥淪o there is an opportunity for our industry to get some real limelight.鈥�