One of the side effects of spending five days in limbo after the general election is that some of the construction industry might have got the funny idea that nothing much had changed
But it鈥檚 taken only a few hours of David Cameron in number 10 for the implications of the new era to sink in. As we report, all 黑洞社区 Schools for the Future deals that haven鈥檛 reached preferred bidder stage are about to be stopped pending a review of the programme and wider government spending. No new local education partnerships 鈥 the joint ventures of contractors and local authorities that work on big schools packages 鈥 will be formed, and existing ones will be asked to prove they are not wasting money. It鈥檚 only a matter of time before the Treasury sends the boys round to other departments. We鈥檙e not just talking about a few cuts to public spending here, we鈥檙e talking about a rethinking of the very mechanisms of procurement.
What isn鈥檛 clear is how durable the coalition will prove to be. It has a working majority and a clear intention to govern for all five years of a fixed-term parliament, so businessmen and bankers can plausibly expect policies to last for long enough to draw up short to medium-term plans on the basis of them. On the other hand, it usually takes a world war to get these two to share a government, and cohabitation is likely to be a strain for both. What may keep them together in the end is the prospect of being punished if they are perceived to have acted badly; if nothing else, that should bring more stability than looked likely a few days ago.
There are a few areas of policy agreement. Both parties are more opposed to regulation than Labour, and that bodes well for housebuilders 鈥 but it will have little net impact if the localism agenda that is common to Cameron and Clegg prevents firms from winning planning permissions. The housing recovery is fragile, so it鈥檚 vital that with cuts upon us in the public sector, we don鈥檛 erect barriers in the private. Both parties have made a fuss about their commitment to the green agenda. Paul Morrell, the government鈥檚 chief construction adviser, is chairing the panel looking at how contractors and consultants can help decarbonise the economy, and his eventual report is likely to increase the industry鈥檚 political visibility. Let鈥檚 just hope he is allowed to finish his work. There鈥檚 good news, too, on an area of policy disagreement: the Lib Dems have agreed not to oppose the commissioning of nuclear power stations.
We鈥檙e not just talking about a few cuts to public spending here, we鈥檙e talking about a rethinking of the very mechanisms of procurement
As we went to press the Cabinet was still being named, and many areas of policy were as clear as mud. But we can expect a Conservative manifesto tempered by Lib Dems鈥 preferences rather than the other way round 鈥 Vince Cable may be looking after the banks, but George Osborne is in the Treasury. That means that cuts will be early and deep 鈥 the Tories are pressing ahead with their plans to save 拢6bn this year, which is largely expected to come out of big IT projects and 鈥渆fficiencies鈥. Although we should keep our cynicism under control, it鈥檚 obvious that the least painful way to make 鈥渆fficiencies鈥 is to abort capital projects that haven鈥檛 had the go ahead; as we鈥檝e seen with the moves to suspend school spending, next year鈥檚 budgets are being decided now 鈥 and we鈥檙e in for a bumpy ride.
That said, much coalition policy is still open to influence, which it wouldn鈥檛 be if the Conservatives had won an overall majority. So the industry should put forward its arguments for reducing the deficit without sending construction into a double-dip recession. We鈥檒l be putting forward the responses from our Charter 284 campaign 鈥 so please sign up to it before we do (). We鈥檝e got less than six weeks to present a case to Osborne before his emergency budget. The industry鈥檚 lobbying power is more important now than ever before.
Denise Chevin, editor
1 Readers' comment