After nine months of consultation, the 黑洞社区 the Future Commission gathered the industry together in Westminster to discuss solutions to improve the built environment. Carl Brown and Tom Lane report

黑洞社区 The Future Commission 2023240 low res

Audience members at the 黑洞社区 the Future Commmission conference held in Westminster last month

BTFC 3x2

In the Assembly Hall Theatre at grade II-listed Church House in Westminster hundreds of professionals from construction, architecture and housing gathered to listen to speakers and panellists talking about ideas to improve the built environment.

At the same time many were tapping on their devices, voting electronically in polls on key solutions and barriers or submitting questions to the commission. And in a room nearby audience members were giving their views on camera to a TV crew.

BTFC main hall 1

黑洞社区 editor Chloe McCulloch presents the commission鈥檚 interim findings to the conference at Church House

黑洞社区鈥檚 interactive 黑洞社区 the Future Commission conference last month saw a whole afternoon of debate as the year-long project, launched to mark 黑洞社区鈥檚 180th anniversary, prepared to enter the final quarter of the year.

After nine months of regional roundtables, investigations and consultations with the industry and our panel of 19 experts - as well as dozens and dozens of articles - we brought the industry together to help formulate our thinking ahead of the commission鈥檚 final report due to be published at the end of the year.

Chloe McCulloch, editorial director at 黑洞社区, spoke about thecommission鈥檚 interim findings, published last month, in her opening address.

She said: 鈥淲e can see some strong themes coming through the commission鈥檚 work. There is a huge desire among those working in the industry to unite around a positive vision from construction鈥檚 future but this is twinned with a frustration at a lack of joined-up thinking at government level and a lack of co-ordination among companies.

鈥淚f we can get over some of these hurdles, there is a strong belief that construction can help UK plc be a success. For this reason the commission is calling on government to commit to a long-term strategic plan to increase construction鈥檚 productivity, boost economic growth and improve the quality of the UK鈥檚 built environment.鈥

Here we bring together some highlights from the conference and consider the key messages that will help the commission formulate its final conclusions.

The net zero panel debate: How is the net zero agenda transforming the built environment?

net zero panel

(The panel left to right) Chloe McCulloch, 黑洞社区; Andrew Reynolds, RLB; Lynne Sullivan, National Retrofit Hub, Jimmy Close, Mitek, Karl Desai, Lendlease, Simon Wyatt, Cundall

The interim findings of the 黑洞社区 the Future Commission suggested that the materials needed to achieve net zero are expensive and the skills limited. Cost pressures have been exacerbated by inflation which is impacting on project viability which means net zero aspirations are being scaled back. A second challenge is the lack of joined up net zero policies, for example there is no regulation of embodied carbon.

Confidence in government policy has been undermined by the recent announcement that the deadlines for phasing out fossil fuel boilers were being pushed back and there would no longer be a requirement for landlords to upgrade their properties to an EPC rating by 2026.

It鈥檚 amazing how much the industry has upped its game in the last couple of years

Lynne Sullivan, National Retrofit Hub

Despite this, our net zero panel was positive about progress towards net zero. 鈥淚t鈥檚 amazing how much the industry has upped its game in the last couple of years,鈥 said Lynn Sullivan, the chair of the National Retrofit Hub said. 鈥淎wareness of scope one, two and three emissions is becoming a very noticeable driver which is cascading down through the industry down to the smaller businesses.鈥

The commercial sector is making particularly good progress, despite government flip flopping on net zero policy, because of pressure from the environmental, social and governance (ESG) requirements of funders.

Financial institutions work across borders, so it doesn鈥檛 matter where government regulation is coming from

Simon Wyatt, Cundall

鈥淔inancial institutions work across borders, so it doesn鈥檛 matter where government regulation is coming from,鈥 said Simon Wyatt, the sustainability partner at Cundall. 鈥淚f you want access to funding and then you need to basically be meeting these ESG standards.鈥

According to Sullivan the risk of stranded asset syndrome is a big driver too. This is a phenomenon where a building becomes worthless because poor energy performance means can鈥檛 be let. 鈥淭his isn鈥檛 just confined to the commercial sector, it is also true of the housing sector,鈥 she said. 鈥淢ajor housing asset managers are now looking at auditing the resilience of their stock and potentially offloading hard to treat properties.鈥 She added that buildings that perform well command a premium which offsets the increase in capital cost. 鈥淰alues that have been collected by the Passivhaus community show an uplift in value of at least 5% which is counterbalancing the extra over costs [of construction].鈥

The costs of retrofitting existing homes is a particular challenge because owner occupiers are not subject to any regulatory or ESG funding pressure. And they must find a large upfront sum to fund the work which could take many years to pay back. Sullivan saidsa costs could be reduced by identifying what retrofit interventions are proved to work for a range of different house types and forms of construction. From this a pattern book of solutions could be adopted and potentially linked to a pay as you save mechanism where the energy savings are used to repay the loan to do the work. She added energy efficiency improvements would reduce the costs of upgrading the electricity grid too. For Wyatt a drive to reduce scope 3 emissions 鈥 those not directly produced by a business but its supply chain 鈥 could prompt firms to retrofit the homes of their work from home employees.

Regarding future government policy Wyatt said last year the Environmental Audit Committee recommended embodied carbon should be regulated and that there should be mandatory operational energy standards. Regarding the latter the industry has drafted Part Z, which is ready to go and the and  published a consultation on a national framework for monitoring the energy performance of large buildings. A new government could potentially give the green light to these which would be a big push on the journey towards a net zero built environment. 

Messages from the keynote speakers 

BTFC armitt

鈥淲hile politics will never be removed from infrastructure, and ministers will understandably want to shape the direction of major programmes, we need to face up to the implications of chopping and changing policy.

鈥淯ltimately, politicians are there to take the tough decisions. But if the private sector is to play its part in delivering major public objectives 鈥 whether that is net zero, or levelling up, or even meeting the housebuilding target 鈥 it needs a stable policy and regulatory environment.

鈥淭hat is best achieved through a long-term plan that is forged collaboratively between public and private sectors, including regulators 鈥 and then, crucially, sticking to it. This is the missing link between high level plans and targets, and getting stuff done on the ground.鈥

Sir John Armitt, chair of the National Infrastructure Commission

 

BTFC dowding

鈥淎s leaders we can be futurologists, we can use facts to build potential future outcomes.

鈥淚f we don鈥檛 consider the future, how will we know if we鈥檝e got the right skills for the future of construction, let alone the numbers we need,鈥 she said.

鈥淚f we don鈥檛 plan a pathway, invest in materials, plant new ways of working. how can we find a route to net zero construction?  鈥淚f we don鈥檛 find new ways of working, new ways of navigating the planning system, how on earth will we ever have all the housing that we need?鈥

Katy Dowding, president and chief executive, Skanska UK

 

BTFC martha tsigkari

鈥淐ollaboration in design is not only about software but spaces and experiences, as designers we are in the business of creating experiences.

鈥淐reative minds have nothing to fear from the advent of technological revolution if we play our cards right. AI is not meant to replace us but rather augment our creativity and problem-solving capacity

鈥淭o harness the power of AI we first need to be able to control what powers it, which is data.鈥

鈥淲e have developed an app that can make design suggestions as our designers change the massing of our buildings.鈥

Martha Tsigkari, head of applied R&D, Fosters + Partners

 

Key takeways for the commission 

  • The industry wants stability 鈥 鈥渇requent government policy U-turns that put off private sector investment鈥 was cited by most attendees as the biggest challenge facing construction today
  • Whether it be reforming planning, or improving data sharing, there is a desire to work with existing structures, rather than trying to reinvent the wheel
  • Collaboration - throughout the day the importance of all parts of the industry to work together to address challenges such as net zero, building safety, and productivity was a constant theme
  • Data-sharing, and understanding data more broadly, is crucial and the audience see potential in digital technology to achieve this
  • The idea of regulating embodied carbon is worthy of investigation
  • Solutions should be adopted to help with the retrofitting of existing homes, particularly for owner occupiers.

 

Digital technology debate: How will the digital revolution reshape the sector?

btfc digital

(The panel left to right) Thomas Lane, 黑洞社区; Paul Drayton, Laing O鈥橰ourke; Maria Mamoura, Bryden Wood; Tony Wells, Merit; Chris Bowie-Hill, Hydrock

Digital technologies have a critical role in improving construction鈥檚 poor productivity. Although firms are making progress towards greater digitisation the 黑洞社区 the Future Commission found that this is not evenly distributed across the industry. Another big barrier to more effective digital ways of working is poor quality data which hinders collaboration and limits the use of game changing tools such as artificial intelligence.

Paul Drayton, Laing O鈥橰ourke鈥檚 head of digital for Europe, said digital processes are becoming increasingly important to clients but despite this, digital adoption is still a challenge. Part of this is working out which tools and processes add the maximum value, adopting these and ensuring that these endure to become business as usual.

He said part of the problem is there are too many tools with something new coming out each week. 鈥淲e need to be pretty ruthless in terms of defining what鈥檚 the problem that we are trying to solve and how are we going to measure the impact of a solution to know whether it is successful or not,鈥 he explains. 鈥淭here are things available to today with so much latent potential, we don鈥檛 need to find the latest and greatest but get more out of what we have got already.鈥

The panel agreed that bringing people along on the digital journey was far more important 鈥 and challenging - than technology.

This includes giving people tools appropriate to their level of digital understanding. Chris Bowie-Hill, Hydrock鈥檚 director of innovation delivery job involves working with the asset managers of large public sector estates to understand and improve these in the most effective way. This involves working with a wide range of people which includes those who use pen and paper to take meter readings.

The trendsetter isn鈥檛 the important person. The first follower is how you start a movement and get a cascade through a business

Paul Drayton, Laing O鈥橰ourke

Capturing that data digitally and combining it with other parameters such a buildings size and number of occupants makes it much easier to develop a decarbonisation programme. Digital twins are the ultimate tool for effective asset management but Bowie-Hill said people need to start with more basic tools before moving up. 鈥淥ver time we will move closer and closer to that all singing all dancing digital twin where the estate鈥檚 running itself,鈥 he said.

Maria Mamoura is a director in creative technologies at Bryden Wood, a team that includes architects and engineers who are also experts in a range of technologies. They devise new tools including design automation software. She echoes the commission鈥檚 finding that poor quality data is an issue. 鈥淭he first step is that we need to get information in the form of a dataset,鈥 she said. 鈥淣o matter what it is, as soon as it is in a machine readable format we can do many things afterwards.鈥 This includes using this data to develop those new tools accessible to all. 鈥淭hose experts in technologies should bring information back in a simplified format that is easy to consume,鈥 she said.

How does the industry address the fact it lags far behind other sectors when it comes to digital adoption? Bowie-Hill said a bottom up and top down approach within organisations is needed. The bottom up aspect should be more straightforward because people are starting out and are more likely to be digital natives. The challenge is in the boardroom where people are older. 鈥淭here鈥檚 probably some nervousness at that higher level because those people have never really had to get involved with sophisticated digital tools,鈥 he said. 鈥淚f we can identify where the opportunities and pinch points are for that group that will allow that top down to happen much more quickly.

Drayton advocates the digital follower as a key driver for this journey. This is the person who is the first to follow a trend set by someone else. 鈥淭he trendsetter isn鈥檛 the important person,鈥 he said. 鈥淭he first follower is how you start a movement and get a cascade through a business.鈥

 

黑洞社区 safety debate

BTFC building safety

(The panel, left to right) Carl Brown, 黑洞社区; Suzannah Nichol, Build UK; Ben Smallwood, LABC Warranty; Peter Caplehorn, CPA; Andrew Mellor, PRP, Amanda Stubbs, Trowers & Hamlins

A frequent theme of the conference, and indeed the whole commission to date, has been frustration at uncertainty in government policy.

Peter Caplehorn, chief executive of the Construction Products Association, certainly railed against 鈥渄isruption, change and incoherence鈥 in his address to the conference. Caplehorn said we need to have consistent, long-term planning and policies that allow companies to 鈥渋nvest and where maturity of process and support systems can develop鈥.

But the bigger point from the panel is that it is up to the industry itself to work together to ensure these processes are developed to make buildings safer and in compliance with the 黑洞社区 Safety Act.

Caplehorn said he hopes the new Code for Construction Product Information will help usher in a period where product information will 鈥渂ecome clear, reliable, up-to-date accurate and above all trustworthy鈥, saying it was the concerns about trust that was most shocking following Grenfell.

He said any product information not part of the code process should be challenged.

We鈥檝e got good systems in place, we need to use them, take responsibility and do it collectively

Suzannah Nichol, chief executive of Build UK

Collaboration was also a big theme. Suzannah Nichol, chief executive of Build UK, warned firms about working in silos, getting mired in bureaucracy and adding layers of duplication.

She said: 鈥淲e鈥檝e got good systems in place, we need to use them, take responsibility and do it collectively. If we all go away and do our different things we are going to stay as we are.鈥

Andrew Mellor, partner at PRP and a 黑洞社区 the Future commissioner, gave an example of collaboration in action. He said architectural practices, who haven鈥檛 worked together before as rivals, have been getting together to produce 鈥渟tandard question checklists鈥 to try and ensure a more uniform approach to complying with the Principle Designer requirements under the act.

鈥淚t鈥檚 like a pilot鈥檚 checklist, if anything on that checklist is not ticked off the plane is going nowhere,鈥 he said.

Understanding of responsibility and accountability was also a point of discussion. Amanda Stubbs, partner at Trowers and Hamlins, likened understanding of risk to a game of 鈥減ass the parcel between the dutyholders鈥. She said: 鈥淵ou get the parcel and then are you trying to shift it quickly, or are you actually stopping to think what you鈥檝e got in your hand?鈥

She said the industry is still not geared up to understanding this. Ben Smallwood, major projects business manager at LABC Warranty, said longer warranty periods coming in could lead to more scrutiny for manufacturers, meaning they need to assess their quality control procedures, or invest in research and development to ensure product longevity.

Nichol said the new regime means 鈥渢here will be no hiding places鈥 and everyone is 鈥渉eld accountable by each other, the regulator and by the occupier.鈥

But firms will only be able to collaborate, understand risk and take responsibility if they have the necessary skills to enable it.

A poll of the audience (see below) in the building safety session revealed concern in this area. When asked about the 鈥渂iggest barrier preventing firms from being ready for the 黑洞社区 Safety Act鈥 more than half the audience (53%) answered 鈥榣ack of education, training and skills.鈥

Caplehorn pointed out its 鈥渘o good ensuirng [product] information is precise if we don鈥檛 have workforce that understands what we are dealing with. Mellor meanwhile, raised the issue of whether clients 鈥渉ave the competence to assess the competence鈥 again saying there are systems in place to help achieve this.

So the message on building safety is we need collaboration, information-sharing through the new CCPI, long-term certainty, and a focus on improving training, skills and competence. 

 

Audience polls

黑洞社区 The Future Commission audience 2

The audience was asked to vote on multiple choice questions throughout the day. The picture given is that construction professionals are concerned that a lack of skills will hamper attempts to build and retrofit buildings to new standards and to ensure firms are ready for the 黑洞社区 Safety Act.

鈥淔requent government policy U-turns that put off private sector investment鈥 was cited by most people as the biggest challenge the industry, while there was hope that the creation of 鈥淚ndustry-wide standards for data sharing鈥 could be the biggest positive change through digital technology.

 

 

 

 

 

>

The conference saw the launch of the 黑洞社区 the Future Commission鈥檚 20-page report looking at how we can reform the English planning system.

The report鈥檚 author, 黑洞社区鈥檚 contributing editor Joey Gardiner. carried out phone interviews, questionnaires and roundtables with experts as part of an investigation spanning several months.

At the conference he said: 鈥淚 think the most shocking thing really is it [the findings] just reinforced the state that the planning system is in.

鈥淛ust 15% of, of all planning applications are decided within the statutory 13 week period. According to Lichfields鈥 latest research, the average planning application is now taking a year to be decided, and at the same time the number of permissions being granted each year has been falling.

鈥淲hat we鈥檙e saying we want to do here is [make] a series of discrete but significant changes that give the existing system a chance to work.

鈥淚f we sort resources, sort strategic planning and housing numbers and sort local plans, then actually we can get the current system working properly.鈥

The report has now been handed to all three main political parties and the Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities.