黑洞社区

Piece republished on 4 September

There have been rumblings for some time. In 2018 the roof of a primary school in Kent collapsed. In 2022, a government report admitted there was a 鈥渧ery likely鈥� risk of further collapses in some schools built using lightweight materials. In February this year, seven education unions wrote to the government demanding urgent action, describing the report鈥檚 findings as 鈥渢ruly shocking鈥�.

Now the National Audit Office has revealed there are an estimated 700,000 pupils learning in buildings which the Department of Education (DfE) believes require major rebuilding or major refurbishment. An astonishing 38% of England鈥檚 64,000 buildings have now passed their estimated design life, the NAO鈥檚 report found.

If the government had to choose one type of public sector building which needs to be structurally sound, you would think schools would be pretty high up that list. Despite all of the disruptive events politicians have been faced with over the last decade, whether its public debt, Brexit, the pandemic or inflation, you would hope the safety of children had not fallen down the government鈥檚 list of priorities. Sadly, this appears to be far from the case.

In 2020, the DfE recommended a minimum annual spend of 拢5.3bn to ensure the long-term maintenance of school buildings. The actual average yearly spend between 2016-2017 and 2022-2023 was less than half of this, 拢2.3bn. The DfE鈥檚 recommended funding would also include mitigating the 鈥渕ost serious risks of building failure鈥�, such as those found to contain reinforced autoclaved aerated concrete (RAAC), a cheap material mostly used in system build programmes from the 1950s to the 1980s but which has now passed its 30-year design life.

The department does have its school rebuilding programme, which aims to rebuild or repair 500 schools over the next decade. Launched in summer 2020, it has so far seen the completion of only one project. The DfE鈥檚 own forecast had predicted four schemes would be completed by now. Worryingly, the department had also only awarded 24 contracts by March 2023, a third of the 84 it had expected to sign by that date.

Safety concerns

Meanwhile, schools built decades ago, including 10,000 buildings dating to before 1940, are continuing to deteriorate, putting the safety of children more at risk as each day passes. The 2018 school roof collapse, at Singlewell Primary School in Gravesend, luckily resulted in no injuries as it happened over the weekend. But it had also collapsed almost without warning - the first signs of structural stress were noticed only the previous evening. 

It goes without saying that a much more serious outcome in the near term is more than possible - in the government鈥檚 own 2022 assessment another collapse is highly likely. The DfE has allocated 拢6m for around 600 investigations of school buildings thought to contain RAAC, giving an idea of the numbers of buildings at risk. As of May this year, the department had completed 196 assessments, confirming the presence of RAAC in 65 buildings, 24 of which required immediate attention. The same month, the department said it would provide funding to ensure these blocks do not pose an immediate risk.

Another legacy of system-build schools is asbestos, which was widely used during roughly the same era as RAAC, from the 1950s to the mid-1980s, although any school built before 2000 may contain it. The material is safe if correctly maintained, but can release fibres when disturbed which can cause serious diseases. These include mesothelioma, a cancer of the lining of the internal organs which often causes no significant symptoms until it is at an advanced stage, and incurable. 

The DfE started surveying schools for asbestos in 2018. By March 2023, 93% of schools had responded and more than 80% had identified asbestos, including 97% of system builds. Maintaining the material can be more difficult in buildings that are deteriorating or require repair work, because of the risk of disturbance, and its presence can also significantly increase the cost of refurbishments.

Delays to the school rebuilding programme

But what about the wider problem with the condition of school buildings? The DfE has said it has specific concerns about an estimated 3,600 system built school buildings which are believed to be susceptible to deterioration. While it has approved plans for invasive structural assessments in 200 schools, it is yet to procure specialists to carry out the first 100 visits.

While the government does, belatedly, appear to be giving bandwidth to the issue now, it is facing issues with procurement that are holding back delivery of the required work. Reasons given for the slow progress in awarding contracts under the school rebuilding programme include suppliers not taking up contracts because of instability in the construction sector and inflationary risks, according to the NAO.

Alan Jarvie is a director at Atkins and the firm鈥檚 UK education sector lead. He has worked at the firm for 33 years, almost all of that time on the school estate, both on the client side and for contractors. He describes the issues now facing the maintenance of the school estate in England as a 鈥減erfect storm鈥� of inflation, post-Brexit labour constraints and post-Grenfell regulatory constraints. 

While the volume of school work is high, the margins for contractors are much lower than other sectors. This is compounded by restricted budgets - the Treasury allocated the DfE 拢3.1bn a year to maintain schools between 2021 and 2025, and as already mentioned, it has been spending less than that. Jarvie says contractors have been seeing a lot of their tenders rejected because the department had aimed too low on its budgets for schemes or not taken account of inflation. 

In his experience, contractors working in education spend a lot of time looking at schemes to check if the budgets stack up, and find that they don鈥檛. 鈥淭hey鈥檙e at 拢30m, for example, and our contractors and our cost managers are pricing at 拢45m, is that a scheme that鈥檚 worth investing time into? 

Are [contractors] going to invest time in bidding, only to find that it will go on hold, or there鈥檚 a big value engineering exercise to get it back down

Alan Jarvie, Atkins

鈥淏ecause bidding these sorts of things are expensive. Are we going to invest time in bidding, only to find that it will go on hold, or there鈥檚 a big value engineering exercise to get it back down?鈥�

Craig Shanley, head of education at McLaren Construction, says inflation and material shortages caused by the war in Ukraine over the past year have 鈥渃hallenged decision-making processes that were already complicated鈥�. The cost of living crisis has further intensified the debate about who and where public money is spent, trapping some schools in a 鈥渓oop of never-ending maintenance鈥� rather than the comprehensive rebuild they need, he says.

The NAO report鈥檚 findings have come as no surprise, says NVB Architects landscape director Peter Baker. He has seen first hand schools patching up decades-old 鈥榯emporary鈥� demountable huts while awaiting funding. When rebuilds ore refurbishments are approved, he says maintenance is sometimes postponed as much as possible to save money. But this period often extends for years, worsening the appearance of neglect.

鈥淭he issue is given a real sense of urgency when we speak to the teachers and school leaders who tell us what the conditions are like and how this lasts for years, impacting on learning and lives,鈥� he says. 

鈥淭here are teachers providing children with wonderful teaching, in spite of the inadequate surroundings, who could achieve even more with the right facilities. Classrooms are often too cold in winter and too hot in summer due to poor windows, insulation and ventilation. Modern technology is often problematic to use with glare on interactive teaching screens or 鈥榮mart-boards鈥� and screens on all the other devices we depend on now caused by difficulty in controlling light. The condition of toilets, stairs and corridors, intrinsic parts of day-to-day experiences are often tired and unpleasant.鈥�

There are teachers providing children with wonderful teaching, in spite of the inadequate surroundings, who could achieve even more with the right facilities

Peter Baker, NVB Architects

During delays in getting schemes to an affordable budget, contractors often start looking at jobs in better funded public sectors such as defence. 鈥淲e can鈥檛 do it all, so firms are picking the ones that are maybe going to come through, that are maybe less risky,鈥� Jarvie says. 鈥淚 think that鈥檚 part of the reason why it hasn鈥檛 moved as well as it should have.鈥� Of around 40 schemes which Atkins is working on, only five have gone to site.

Access to funding

The years of austerity in public funding following the 2008 financial crisis has also had an impact on the DfE鈥檚 capacity to address the school estate. Teams have been slimmed down and there has been a high turnover of staff, something which Jarvie says has hampered how some of the funding for schemes is allocated.

The way schools receive funding has also been complicated by the fragmentation of the schools estate, which was radically reformed in 2010 when then education secretary Michael Gove allowed schools to opt out of local authority control by converting to academy status. School academy trusts with a combined number of pupils under 3,000 have to go through annual rounds of bidding for condition improvement funding, which pits schools against each other for the same limited funding pool. Those that do secure funding are often the academy trusts with resources to put together good bids. Consequently, the schools most in need are often overlooked because their bids are less polished.

All of this points to systemic issues for the school estate in England, and these issues have been worsened by global trends such as inflation just as the condition of school buildings risks entering a critical state. Meanwhile, the maintenance of schools in other parts of the UK has been arguably more successful. In Wales, it is driven by local authorities, which take an active ownership of the work in prioritising schools and making sure the money goes to the places most in need. By setting realistic budgets, Jarvie at Atkins argues local authorities in Wales have developed a mature delivery model using frameworks with a limited number of specialist contractors and local supply chain firms. It has given Welsh contractors a guaranteed pipeline.

鈥淭here is an expertise being built up by the supply chain that knows how to deliver schools,鈥� says Jarvie. 鈥淭here is almost a bit more of a maturity and a rhythm of how this stuff works.鈥�

Making a case the value for money case

So what is the solution for England now? RIBA president Simon Allford says the government has 鈥渟imply not put enough money in the pot to address the scale of the problem鈥�. But a major uplift in funding is a hard call for Rishi Sunak given the squeeze faced by the Treasury, regardless of the need. The prime minister has firmly resisted calls to increase government borrowing to fund things like public sector pay rises because of the risk of causing inflation. School maintenance is also just one of many urgent issues in the public estate requiring urgent attention, not least the maintenance backlog in the NHS, which was valued at 拢10.2bn in 2021/22, an increase of 11% on 2020/21.

But Baker argues bringing about a transformation in school facilities does not require extravagant budgets or trophy architecture. What it does need is a 鈥渃ombination of realistic funding and creative thinking,鈥� he says. 鈥淥ften wholesale demolition is unnecessary and undesirable from a sustainability perspective and creative reuse is all that is required.鈥� 

The NAO report found that current funding levels could be forcing some schools to delay carrying out remedial work, leading to poor value for money in the long term. DfE analysis has found that the modelled cost to return buildings to a good standard of repair increased by 9%, from 拢133 per sq m in 2012-2014 to 拢145 per sq m in 2017-2019. The NAO has called on the department to ensure its approach provides the best value from the resources it currently has available.

Against the odds, the government has now relaunched the New Hospital Programme with 拢20bn of funding. It will use modern methods of construction to build at least 14 of the new hospitals, with the approach aiming to reduce cost and delivery time by around 25%. The use of MMC was partly informed by two sandpit projects at the Manufacturing Technology Centre (MTC) in Coventry, which were visited by ministers and officials from several government departments. One of the projects was a small health unit; the other was an education block. Teams at the MTC claimed scaling up the modular approach used for the education scheme could see a full size school built in under six weeks. 

The parallels with the problems caused by system build programmes in the 1960s and 70s, including the use of RAAC and other unsafe materials such as asbestos, are potentially troubling. The MMC sector is also notoriously unstable - only last month modular housebuilder Ilke Homes collapsed with the loss of more than 1,000 jobs. But if the DfE gets it right, MMC could offer a solution which would make it possible to not only build schools faster but, with the use of standardised components, make them much cheaper to maintain in the long-term.

That may be a few years off - the New Hospital Programme only committed to the approach this year, three years after the programme was launched - but it offers a potential way forward. Meanwhile there are hundreds of school rebuild and refurbishment schemes waiting to get off the ground, and an industry looking for viable work. Jarvie says: 鈥淵ou鈥檝e got a maturity in our sector. Let鈥檚 try and put the plan together and target what needs to be done. There鈥檚 a willingness to get this started.鈥�