黑洞社区

鈥淪cotland is a village,鈥� says Alastair Wallace to a dinner table full of colleagues, clients and friends 鈥� 鈥渆veryone knows everyone鈥�.  

As if to demonstrate the point, Wallace, a senior partner at locally based consultant Thomas and Adamson (T&A), has collected a who鈥檚 who of Scottish construction in a room at the Edinburgh Grand to give 黑洞社区 the lay of the land north of the border. 

His testament to the country鈥檚 unique smallness seems at first to be an unusual claim 鈥� after all, if Scotland is a village, it is one with more than 拢160bn GDP 鈥� but it鈥檚 not the first or last time this reporter hears the comment made during his three-day trip in the country. 

This smallness has a paradoxical quality. It appears to be a source of both the pride and frustration demonstrated by those around the table.  

On the one hand, there is a belief within the market that practices are more honest and collaborative than down south. 鈥淢y god, we are not scared to fall out, but at the same time you are only three months away from meeting each other on the next job, so actually we all get on really well,鈥� says Wallace. 鈥淪o, the team ethos is really strong on jobs鈥�. 

鈥淭he great thing about the Scottish industry is you can always pick up the phone to an MD and, as a client, you can always say if you have got an issue,鈥� adds Karen Pickering, estate development manager at the University of Edinburgh. 鈥淚鈥檝e worked down in England and you cannot do that.鈥� 

This sense of purpose and enthusiasm was evident on a visit to the King鈥檚 Theatre, which is currently undergoing major modernisation work. The venue is a beloved city institution and those working on the job were keen to share with 黑洞社区 their personal memories of their first visit to the panto and how much the project meant to them.

But the flipside of this is a perception of Scotland as a parochial market with high build costs and a high-risk profile. Paul Curran, chief executive of Qmile Group, the developer responsible for the redevelopment of the Quartermile neighbourhood and the forthcoming Haymarket development, describes how these qualities have seen the UK鈥檚 largest contractors drift away. 

鈥淚f you are talking about the tier one contractors, there sort of aren鈥檛 any in Scotland anymore,鈥� he says. 鈥淵our McAlpines are effectively pulling out, Balfour Beatty only do infrastructure and university stuff, so you don鈥檛 really have that depth of market [鈥�] we used to have a list about 12 main contractors who could cope with scale, now you are very limited with who you can go to site with鈥�. He adds that more firms moving to a sector-focused rather than regional structure meant Scotland losing a dedicated presence and that the transience of subcontractors鈥� labour markets were another challenge, with a sense among workers that 鈥淟ondon鈥檚 streets are paved with gold鈥�. 

Glasgow-based Heather Holbrook, T&A鈥檚 newest partner, agrees such supply chain issues are common, with challenges accessing skilled trades like joinery and specialist contractors. 鈥淎 big concrete frame of scale, you are kind of limited with contractors that can do a job of that scale in Scotland because a lot have withdrawn,鈥� she says. 鈥淲e used to have Keltbray but they withdrew. You are kind of limited to Cidon and Careys.鈥� 

I think the skillset in Scotland is significantly higher in every area of the property industry than elsewhere

Alastair Wallace, senior partner, Thomas & Adamson

Wallace contends that the relative coolness of the market in comparison to London provides some benefits, though, making a bold claim about the comparative quality of services in Scotland and the UK capital. 鈥淎s someone who sees the UK and arguably oversees as well, I think the skillset in Scotland is significantly higher in every area of the property industry than elsewhere,鈥� he says. 鈥淵ou have got to earn your crust [in Scotland]鈥�. 

鈥淚 personally hear that from clients south of the border who are doing business up here,鈥� says Chris Cuthbert, director of boutique property consultancy CuthbertWhite. Perhaps part of the reason is the higher standards built environment professionals are held to in Scotland, with a building warrant system separate from planning approval meaning developers have to demonstrate exactly how projects will be built before getting the green light. 

Scotland鈥檚 rather more interventionist approach to regulation does not receive universal acclaim, however. The SNP government introduced a rent freeze in September 2022 and subsequently established a temporary rent cap limiting annual rises to 3% 鈥� a move the industry says has stifled build-to-rent development. Ian Gracie, construction director at Drum Property Group, says he thinks rent controls are a good thing but that they were introduced undemocratically and counter-productively, spooking investors. He says: 鈥淧roper rent control with a rent review period built into legislation? No problem, because funders can allow for it, developers can allow for it, and the market knows what to expect鈥�. 

The fear of major, sudden and unexpected has long been cause for funders鈥� coolness on the Scottish property market, which brings us to the elephant in the room 鈥� independence. The Buccleuch Group is synonymous with Scottishness, named for the Duke of Buccleuch, one of the country鈥檚 biggest private landowners. But in advance of the referendum in 2014, the business 鈥渢ook a deliberate stance to reduce our exposure to the Scottish market鈥�, according to managing director David Peck. Between 20% and 25% of its business is Scottish now, he says, compared with closer to 50% previously. 

There are loads of good things here, loads of opportunity

Barry McKeane, director, Wallace Whittle

Peck contends that what he calls 鈥渢he Holyrood issue鈥� remains a block on investment for Scotland. 鈥淚 think we still have an issue of very parochial politics up here that seem to be subject to sudden change and that is a big turnoff for a lot of investors and until we see some change on that front, I think you will see Scotland suffer relative to south of the border,鈥� he says. 

It鈥檚 not all doom and gloom, though, says Barry McKeane, director at building services firm Wallace Whittle. 鈥淭here are loads of good things here, loads of opportunity,鈥� he says. 鈥淔rom a Scottish perspective, we need more investment, we need more people to come to Scotland, to see it as a stable economy, a stable marketplace where people want to invest.鈥� 

One success story is the booming energy infrastructure sector, with firms taking advantage of Scotland鈥檚 fierce elements. Tidal power and hydroelectric are prominent, while wind has benefitted from onshore generation falling out of favour in England. Life sciences and technology are other promising areas. CBRE identified Glasgow as the UK鈥檚 third top 鈥榯ech city鈥� outside of London, while life science firms headquartered in Scotland at large raised more than 拢600m of funding between 2017 and 2020.  

The growth of the sector has led to biotech-focused projects such as Bruntwood SciTech鈥檚 proposed renovation of the iconic Met Tower, which is turning a derelict former university building into a new life sciences hub. This development raises the prospect of a pivot in Glasgow鈥檚 office market, which has historically been tilted towards the public sector, reflecting the city鈥檚 enormous council staffing 鈥� Glasgow had roughly 28,000 staff as of March 2022, significantly more than Birmingham, the UK鈥檚 biggest local authority by area.

According to some, the dominance of a local authority reluctant to force its staff back to work has had a negative impact on the city centre, and it is hoped that a greater presence of private firms 鈥� alongside pioneering efforts to bring residential units back into the middle of town 鈥� could help turn the tide. 

Read more: The Golden Z: Glasgow鈥檚 radical plan to give the high street back to the people

By contrast, in Edinburgh, space in the centre of the city to develop office space of any kind is hard to come by. The Old and New Towns, which comprise a large chunk of the city centre are both UNESCO World Heritage sites, which, combined with a planning preference against tall building, makes opportunities for major new development relatively rare. M&G Real Estate and Qmile鈥檚 拢350m Haymarket development is an exception, but in another way a demonstration of these challenges. The scheme, part-complete, is squeezing three Grade A office buildings (totalling 380,000 sq ft) and a 362-room onto a tight plot next to the rail station of the same name. These constraints on supply and the booming tech sector mean the city鈥檚 vacancy rate is down to just over eight per cent for all grades and below one per cent for Grade A office space. 

Growth on the edges of the city could help alleviate some of these issues and T&A is currently project managing the construction of Scotland鈥檚 biggest new housing development at Shawfair. Roughly 4,000 new homes will be built over 710ha of land previously used by Monktonhall colliery, linking up a handful of existing coal villages with Edinburgh鈥檚 suburbs.

Some things are just the same as down south, though. If death and taxes are the only certainties in life, grumbles about the planning system might be the only certainty in a conversation about the built environment. There is a particular concern about a perceived unwillingness to approve student accommodation schemes 鈥� according to Gracie, there is currently 12,000-bed shortage for students in Glasgow. 

There is an agreement among industry figures assembled that city leaders in Glasgow and Edinburgh need to be bolder and develop forward-looking visions that industry and the public can get behind. Craig Wallace, a planning specialist and partner at Montagu Evans, suggested the pair could learn a thing or two from their little sibling on the east coast, Dundee.

The city is part way through a thirty-year, 拢1.6bn transformation project that will see 240ha of land along the River Tay redeveloped and has already brought a major cultural institution 鈥� the V&A 鈥� to its waterfront.

鈥淚t is building that confidence between officials and elected members which Dundee did well,鈥� Wallace says. 鈥淓dinburgh doesn鈥檛 do well at all and you have got the chief planner not knowing which way his committee is going to go from one week to the next. It is probably similar in Glasgow, so you need that kind of civic leadership on the right level. It can be done but its failed drastically in recent years.鈥�

The hope is that good policymaking is contagious and moves to regenerate town centres suggest a sea change could be underway. T&A partner Chris Narrowmore says the role Aberdeen Council took in the recent redevelopment of its historic headquarters. A 拢107m scheme, brought forward by Muse and Aviva, saw the delviery of 175,000 sq ft of office space, 5,000 sq ft of restaurant space, more than 18,000 sq ft of retail and leisure space and a roughly 150-bedroom hotel.

Crucailly, though, the council took a head lease over the entire development, giving it a share of the rent and ownership of the development over 35 years, but also responsiblity for the risk if spaces did not let. 鈥淭hey put their money where their mouth was,鈥� he says. 鈥淭here is no other way that kind of quality of scheme could have been delivered without that kind of engagement鈥�.

Only time will tell whether such approaches will bear fruit. What is certain is that the coming years will be interesting ones up north. The unravelling of the SNP after more than a decade in power has put Scotland back on the political chess board, with the Labour Party fixing the country at the centre of its green energy plans. Scotland might be a village, but its significance is not to be underestimated.