Latest ONS figures show sharp year-on-year fall and 3.4% decline between October and November

GCF

Construction output in the three months to November was down 9.8% on the same period the previous year, according to the latest government data.

This follows a 9.7% fall year-on-year for the three months to October.

The Office for National Statistics said that in the three months to November new work decreased by 11.2% year-on-year and repair and maintenance work fell by 5%.

The ONS said that compared with same three month period in 2011 output in new public housing fell 19.5%, private commercial work fell 16.2%, and other public work fell 17.2%.

The figures showed that for the three months to November infrastructure fell 5.3% year-on-year.

However, between June-August 2012 and September-November 2012 infrastructure grew 12.1%

The ONS also said total construction output fell 3.4% between October and November 2012. This followed a rise of 8.3% between September and October.

The only sectors to show growth when comparing the three months to November with the same period in 2011 were public housing repair and maintenance, which grew by 6.6% and private industrial , which increased by 0.2%.

David Crosthwaite, an economist for construction and property consultant AECOM, said the data was 鈥渄isappointing鈥�. 鈥淎gain public sector construction fared badly with some significant declines, particularly in the public housing sector,鈥� he said.

鈥淗owever, perhaps more concerning was that the largest sector by volume of activity, private commercial construction, fell by almost 16% compared to the same period last year.

鈥淲ith many forecasters now predicting that 2013 will be another difficult year for construction with little or no growth through 2013 and no positive news forecast until 2014 at the earliest, one has to ask where is the light at the end of the tunnel?鈥�

Graham Robinson, Global Business Consultant at international law firm Pinsent Masons said: 鈥淭hese latest numbers are not good news for the beleagured construction sector.

鈥淭he sharp decline in output in the private commercial sector shows that recovery for construction may still be 12 months away.鈥�

鈥淭he decline in private house building is of concern, as usually house building is one of the first sectors to lead construction into recovery, but output fell in November 2012.鈥�

The Civil Engineering Contractors Association director of external affairs Alasdair Reisner said the slowdown in the infrastructure sector was 鈥渨orrying news for the wider economy鈥�.

鈥淭he government has rightly focused its recovery strategy on securing growth in the infrastructure sector. It is concerning that the general trend over the last year has been one of negative, rather than positive growth.

鈥淐ECA hopes that recent efforts to stimulate immediate activity will bear fruit, both for the sake of our members and for UK plc.

鈥淎t the same time, these figures show that there is no room for complacency if the infrastructure sector is to act as a motor to kick-start growth in the economy.鈥�

Topics