Only Bristol is expected to show growth in tender pricing, according to consultant鈥檚 report

brexit

Source: Shutterstock

Brexit uncertainty will dampen tender price growth across the UK this year and will continue into the early part of 2019 as negotiations between Theresa May鈥檚 government and officials in Brussels grind on, according to a new report.

The latest global data research from cost consultancy Rider Levett Bucknall said that while construction output remained high in the UK, the outlook was 鈥渃louded鈥 by the uncertainty around negotiations with Brussels and the looming deadline of 29 March 2019, when the UK leaves the EU.

RLB鈥檚 tender price index showed that only Bristol will show signs of growth in 2018, boosted by an upturn in residential development, while Leeds and Sheffield were heading into deflation territory, although RLB鈥檚 figures suggested both Yorkshire cities would bounce back in 2019.

Residential activity in London continued to be a major contributor to workload, as well as Crossrail works and large-scale commercial office developments, but it noted that rising input costs were not feeding through to bid-pricing 鈥渄ue to competitive pressures across the market鈥.

The RLB report said uncertainty around Brexit was expected to continue into the early part of next year, with concerns being linked to all aspects of the production chain.

鈥淥n the one hand, development opportunities may be stayed until the outcome becomes clearer, which will necessarily affect contractors鈥 acquisition of replacement workload.

鈥淥n the other, input costs will continue to rise, due to effects ranging from exchange rate fluctuations, to labour availability issues, materials cost and availability concerns.鈥

RLB also noted the concerns around the impact UK鈥檚 Brexit could have on the potential for EU citizen workers to be asked to leave the EU and go back to their home country.

鈥淟ondon would be particularly affected by a further fall in numbers of available tradespeople and general labour which could arise from an unfavourable outcome of negotiations.

鈥淎ssociated effects could also be felt elsewhere across the UK. A softer Brexit solution, with a longer transition, would permit the industry to draw breath and adapt, but whether that is possible remains to be seen,鈥 it added.

Earlier this month consultant Turner & Townsend said it expected input costs to rise by 5% over the next 12 months and highlighted Brexit as the biggest concern for the industry in the capital.

And last week Gleeds鈥 boss Richard Steer laid into the government鈥檚 handling of the UK鈥檚 exit from the EU, suggesting that mishandling by ministers had cost his firm money.

 

% Tender Price Index forecast

City 20172018 (F)2019 (F)

Birmingham

2.8

2.5

2.3

Bristol

2.5

3.0

3.0

Leeds

2.0

-1.0

4.2

London

2.0

1.3

1.0

Manchester

2.0

1.0

1.0

Sheffield

2.0

-1.5

3.8

Source: Rider Levett Bucknall