In April this year, the former chief executive of Crossrail, Andrew Wolstenholme, said this: 鈥淭he programme we put together [for Crossrail] in March 2018 still found a way through to opening in December 2018.鈥�
Last week, one of his successors, Mark Wild, said this: 鈥淥ur latest assessment is that the opening of the central section will not occur in 2020. [Crossrail] will open as soon as practically possible in 2021.鈥�
The difference between the two dates is more than two years. The line could be close to three years late by the time it opens. At the moment, it will cost nearly 拢18.5bn but, given that this time last year the cost was officially just under 拢15bn, who knows how much more money it will need.
>> Crossrail hit by further delay as cost tops 拢18bn
>> Crossrail: How the delay unfolded
Crossrail is undoubtedly an epic engineering feat and, once open, people will forget its travails and how much it cost. Only those with long memories remember the problems that bedevilled the Jubilee Line Extension 20 years ago.
It鈥檚 also going to be popular with the travelling public 鈥� anything that cuts journey times is a good idea. In short, for most people, it鈥檚 not a waste of money or an unloved project 鈥� the opposite of, say, the Garden Bridge.
No, the problem with Crossrail isn鈥檛 the line, it鈥檚 what people like Wolstenholme were saying in the run-up to that original opening date of December 2018.
When he left the job last March, Wolstenholme, chief executive for seven years, was lauded for the part he had played in getting the job to the brink of completion. London mayor Sadiq Khan thanked him for his 鈥渉uge role鈥� in the delivery of the line. His leadership had been 鈥渃ritical to its success to date鈥�, added the then transport secretary Chris Grayling.
Just over 18 months later, those endorsements are worthless.
Last month, Khan told 黑洞社区 this: 鈥淚 was told [about the original December 2018 delay] three months in advance of the opening. I thought: 鈥楾hat can鈥檛 be right, surely somebody knew before?鈥� 鈥�
The collapse of Carillion prompted a parliamentary inquiry into what went wrong. That is now what needs to happen here, given the amount of public money so far ploughed into the job.
What struck MPs on the Carillion inquiry and those watching was the blind optimism of its management when faced with overwhelming evidence to the contrary. Sound familiar?
Dave Rogers, deputy editor, 黑洞社区
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